Frank Jones
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Topics: Strong start for 2007, RE/MAX • INVESTMENT REPORT • 2006/2007, ONTARIO 2007 INVESTOR REPORT, TORONTO MARKET WATCH FALL 2006, TORONTO CONDO MARKET UPDATE 2006,  IS THERE REAL ESTATE BUBBLE IN CANADA?

In Canada — where real estate is enjoying a record long bull market - there is no bubble to burst. And forecasts keep predicting a rosy housing future, even though affordability is being eroded by higher prices, which are averaging $367,226 in Toronto. Canada’s multi-year boom in multi-unit construction shows no sign of letting up.

What is slowing, though, is construction of single-detached homes, which are becoming too expensive for first-time buyers.

Overall, that means what’s ahead is hardly a housing collapse. Rising home and land costs are making more affordable housing options, such as condominiums and town homes increasingly attractive, particularly for first-time buyers.

Who’s buying? According to statistics Canadians are snapping up condos in the 20-to-29-age bracket, and those 55 and older. Bottom line is: Both empty nesters and young professionals like the idea of living closer to downtown cores, which cuts down on commuting time. Investors are also turning to condos as ways to diversify their portfolios.

TORONTO REAL ESTATE NEWS RELEASE IN YOUR EMAIL,  JUST ASK FOR IT!

 
Strong start for 2007

TORONTO, February 6, 2007 -- The January resale housing market was the best January ever, registering 13 per cent more transactions than a year ago, Toronto Real Estate Board President Dorothy Mason announced today. The 5,173 sales in the month were six per cent above the previous record set in January 2002.
 

“Sales have been very solid to start the year,” Mrs. Mason said. “It's a very good sign for the market to see a healthy level of activity carrying over from last year's strong finish.”
Scarborough's Birchmount Park / Cliffside area (E06) saw 55 per cent more overall sales compared to last January, with detached homes accounting for nearly all transactions.
In the Islington / Kingsway area of Etobicoke, a jump in condominium transactions helped to push overall sales 42 per cent higher than January 2006.
 

An increase in sales of condominiums and semi-detached homes helped lift Forest Hill to an overall increase of 56 per cent over January of last year.
 

North of the city, in Markham West / Langstaff (N01), 50 per cent more homes changed hands in January than during the same month a year ago.
 

Ted Tsiakopoulos, CMHC's Ontario regional economist, noted that Toronto's housing market has been a very stable sector of the economy.
 

“The market remains resilient despite slower job growth, high energy prices, and a loss of migrants to western Canada,” Mr. Tsiakopoulos said. “Historically low interest rates, strong income growth and healthy consumer confidence are important factors keeping January home sales buoyant across the GTA.”
 

TREB's President added that while the results are preliminary, they should instill confidence in consumers.
 

“The housing market is healthy and continues to be well supported by strong economic fundamentals,” Mrs. Mason said. “These are ideal conditions, and consumers can feel confident making a switch to another home or realizing their dream of home ownership for the first time.”

Toronto REALTORS® are passionate about their work. They adhere to a strict code of ethics and share a state-of-the-art Multiple Listing Service designed exclusively for REALTORS®. Serving more than 24,000 Members in the Greater Toronto Area, the Toronto Real Estate Board is Canada's largest real estate board.

RE/MAX • INVESTMENT REPORT • 2006/2007 •

College, as well as properties close to the city centre. Parents purchasing townhomes and condominiums for children attending the college are common investors, as are professionals in their mid-thirties to late forties. Properties that command the most attention are those in the $300,000 –$450,000 range. Investors in the area tend to hold their properties for long periods of time; ten years or more. In fact, many of the properties purchased in the late 1980s are still held by the original purchasers.  Given the supply and demand dynamics in the Barrie property investment market, the prevailing wisdom is ‘if you can find a property that breaks even or better, seize the opportunity’ and hold onto it for long-term gains.

 

 

ONTARIO 2007 INVESTOR REPORT

STATISTICS FOR REAL ESTATE INVESTORS

Here's some good news for investors.

OTTAWA

Historically low interest rates and a vibrant housing market grabbed investor attention early in the new millennium in Ottawa.  Disillusioned and bitter about losses suffered in the stock market, investors turned to the security of bricks and mortar.  Demand for multi-unit residential began to climb, driven in large part by smaller investors, aged 35 to 55 years, with secure jobs and retirement in mind. Today, demand for duplexes, triplexes, and condominium units exist across the board.

Location and price are the primary factors driving the purchase. A modest duplex or triplex, built in the 1930s and 1940s, typically starts at $250,000 while a condominium apartment or townhouse can be priced as low as $140,000. Limited inventory levels have created heated demand for duplexes and triplexes. Those located in good areas that are priced attractively may even experience multiple offers. With vacancy rates at higher than normal levels, most investors tend to favour duplexes and triplexes because they are traditionally easier to rent. Low maintenance condominiums also appeal to investors, while single-detached homes are not as popular.  Most investors are prepared to hold onto their properties for the long-term – ten years and more in some instances. The desire to maximize profits and reduce costs has the vast majority of small investors in Ottawa opting to manage their own properties.  The recent lull in the market has created some unique opportunities for investors in the area. After several years of tight supply levels and fierce competition, pressure in the marketplace has actually eased, making the timing ideal for investors.

TORONTO

As the lynchpin of Ontario’s strong economic engine, Toronto has experienced solid growth in recent years. The city’s residential real estate market has posted record-breaking activity year-after-year, attracting the attention of domestic and offshore investors alike. Many have been active in the market for investment properties over the past four to five years.

However, with average price in the GTA hovering at $335,000, and Toronto now the third most expensive city in the country, smaller investors are looking at duplexes, tri-plexes and homes with basement apartments in less expensive peripheral areas.  The objective is to find good quality property in a rentable location, with adequate parking, that is mechanically sound and adheres to code. Today’s younger investors tend to use the equity in their existing home to purchase properties, often with only five per cent down. If the intention is to purchase and generate cash flow from tenancy, rather than renovate and sell, a long-term hold is the norm. Small investors with one or two properties will more likely self manage, while investors with more than two properties will hire property managers.

BARRIE

With Barrie’s economy running on all cylinders, investors are eager participants in the city’s real estate market. Investment activity has accelerated in the last two to three years in tandem with Toronto’s building boom and overall growth. Availability of good product is a problem considering the strong competition that exists between local and Toronto investors. An added constraint to supply is the fact that City Council takes a stringent approach to legalizing inlaw apartments. Consequently, when an

income property such as a tri or six-plex is listed for sale, it sells quickly. A favored

location is the area surrounding Georgian Bay

TORONTO MARKET WATCH FALL 2006

TORONTO CONDO MARKET UPDATE  

Toronto has the largest condominium market in North America. Last year, there were more than 16,000 condominium suites sold here — Chicago saw only 6,800 sales, New York City had 6,450 and Miami, 7,500. There are now 245 new condo projects in Toronto with suites ranging in price from $112,000 to $12 million.

Strength of the Toronto market is backed by many factors including affordability, our healthy Canadian economy, low interest rates and high demand.

With an annual population growth of 108,000 (representing 44,000 households) in the GTA, the need for new homes and condominiums will persist. Intense competition means that prices cannot be raised artificially, so the people buying condos are mostly end users, not investors. In the 1980s, there weren’t nearly the number of condo projects available, interest was a lot higher, and investors were inflating prices.

Toronto ’s exceptional condo market is not a bubble that will burst at the first sign of change. The first quarter of 2006 resulted in nearly 3,800 condo units sold here, which is 34 per cent more than the same period last year.

This strong start occurred despite the eight per cent increase in prices over last year.

So what are you waiting for? You have more condo selection than ever before, in great locations with affordable prices, a higher level of finishes including standards that would have been considered upgrades a couple years ago, and excellent value. Now is a great time to buy.

IS THERE REAL ESTATE BUBBLE IN CANADA?

In Canada — where real estate is enjoying a record long bull market - there is no bubble to burst. And forecasts keep predicting a rosy housing future, even though affordability is being eroded by higher prices, which are averaging $367,226 in Toronto. Canada’s multi-year boom in multi-unit construction shows no sign of letting up.

What is slowing, though, is construction of single-detached homes, which are becoming too expensive for first-time buyers.

Overall, that means what’s ahead is hardly a housing collapse. Rising home and land costs are making more affordable housing options, such as condominiums and town homes increasingly attractive, particularly for first-time buyers.

Who’s buying? According to statistics Canadians are snapping up condos in the 20-to-29-age bracket, and those 55 and older. Bottom line is: Both empty nesters and young professionals like the idea of living closer to downtown cores, which cuts down on commuting time. Investors are also turning to condos as ways to diversify their portfolios.

 

 

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